From Volume to Value: Determinants of Export Price and Revenue in Indonesia’s Coffee Industry

Desmon Gunadi Siagian; Katrin Jenny Sirait; Artha Putri Br Karo; Andreas Panjaitan; Debora Silvia Hutagalung; Septri Anisa

doi:10.55927/fjst.v4i11.313

Authors

Desmon Gunadi Siagian Politeknik Negeri Medan
Katrin Jenny Sirait Universitas Sumatera Utara
Artha Putri Br Karo Politeknik Negeri Medan
Andreas Panjaitan Politeknik Negeri Medan
Debora Silvia Hutagalung Politeknik Negeri Medan
Septri Anisa Politeknik Negeri Medan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55927/fjst.v4i11.313

Keywords:

Coffee Exports, Export Value, Export Price, Price Transmission, Global Value Chain

Abstract

This study investigates whether Indonesia’s recent coffee export growth is driven by increased shipment volume or genuine value creation. Using monthly data for 2023–2024 and applying a log–log OLS framework, the study examines how export volume, global coffee prices, and exchange rate movements shape both export value and unit export prices. The findings show that export revenue remains predominantly volume-driven, while export prices exhibit limited responsiveness to global price or currency fluctuations, reflecting Indonesia’s upstream position in the global coffee value chain. These results highlight the need for quality upgrading, downstream processing, and stronger market differentiation to enhance Indonesia’s long-term export competitiveness.

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